Chris Steeves brings you an update on the new mortgage rules in Canada. Join Chris as he takes a closer look at what’s really happening.
Canadian banks and mortgage insurers are rallying against new government housing rules that they say will lead to higher mortgage rates, hurt small real estate markets and drive borrowers toward unregulated lenders. And they’re bang-on with this assumption.
The flash point for the big banks, which hold their regular meetings with the finance department this week, is the risk sharing proposal that would require the industry to shoulder a burden of mortgage defaults.
Genworth MI Canada Inc. and Canada Guaranty Mortgage Insurance Co., the 2nd and 3rd largest mortgage insurance providers, will lobby the department against risk sharing in coming weeks, people familiar with their plans said.
Risk sharing will most likely involve lenders paying a deductible if a loan sours, similar to what drivers pay in the event of a car crash, according to people familiar with the government plans. Other risk-sharing measures that have been reviewed by the finance department include banks paying a fee to insurers to manage the loss, or taking a portion of the loss, according to a July 2015 briefing note from the department.
The banks argue that Canadian mortgage defaults are so low that making lenders share the risk is unnecessary and not worth the costs. Delinquency rates in the $1.4 trillion mortgage market, or those in arrears for 90 days or more, stand at 0.28 per cent, or five times lower than those in the U.S., according to the Canadian Bankers Association.
The Toronto-based banking group, which represents 59 domestic lenders and foreign bank subsidiaries, highlighted a deductible as its main concern in a statement after reviewing measures announced Oct. 3 by Finance Minister Bill Morneau. Reps of the country’s biggest banks, including TD, BMO and CIBC, declined to comment. Genworth and Canada Guaranty declined to comment on meetings with the finance department.
Morneau’s move was part of a package of measures designed to stabilize the housing market after years of soaring prices in Vancouver and Toronto. The rules include a more stringent stress test for home buyers, stricter eligibility criteria for insured loans and closing a tax loophole that allowed non-residents to sell their principal homes tax-free. The problem is, that both Vancouver and Toronto are the 2 markets who won’t be affected by these new rules. Those 2 markets are fueled by buyers who are putting 25%, 30%, or higher as their down payments. They won’t feel the sting of these new rules which only affect those putting less than 20% down.
Mortgage insurance is typically required by lenders when homebuyers make a down payment of less than 20 per cent of the purchase price, while banks often buy so-called portfolio insurance when the down payment exceeds that level. The government backs 100 percent of the mortgage insurance obligations of Canada Mortgage & Housing Corp. and backs obligations of private mortgage insurers Genworth MI and Canada Guaranty, subject to a deductible charged to the lender equal to 10 percent of the home loan.
The bank association says that the industry already does extensive stress testing on their mortgage portfolios to ensure customers can repay loans even if interest rates increase.
All mortgages currently go through a “double-underwriting” process as it is, with both lenders and the insurer underwriting the loans for safety.
The cost of risk sharing would make its way to homebuyers through higher mortgage rates or fees, industry officials said. It will also make it more difficult for non-bank lenders to operate because they don’t have the diversity of earnings to offset the costs. That would reduce competition and make it harder for first-time buyers and people in rural or single-industry towns to get a loan.
The stress tests and higher standards for mortgage insurance will be a blow to the insurers and non-bank lenders, said Dan Eisner, founder and chief executive officer of Calgary-based True North Mortgage, a brokerage that advises 300 to 400 new borrowers each month:
“The insurers will be hit twice as hard as anybody else,” he said. And Chris Steeves agrees with these statements. It really will hurt the smaller guys, and only help the big banks (as usual).
The government “should consider potential unintended consequences such as disadvantaging monoline lenders from a competitive standpoint because those lenders are less able to deal with a risk sharing model than the big banks are,” Stuart Levings, chief executive officer of Genworth MI Canada, said by phone last week.
First National Financial Corp., Canada’s largest non-bank mortgage lender, said the measures will slow their earnings growth and force them to raise fees on some products to reflect higher borrowing costs. About a quarter of the Toronto-based firm’s mortgages will no long qualify for portfolio insurance under the new measures, CEO Stephen Smith said. The stock had its biggest five-day drop in eight years last week.
“This is a solution in search of a problem,” Smith said in an Oct. 6. interview with Bloomberg TV Canada.
First National has temporarily suspended mortgages on rental properties and to some self-employed workers who can’t verify their income using traditional means, the Globe and Mail reported Monday.
Canada’s 100 percent backing of home mortgage insurance is “unique” in the world, the finance department said in its background paper explaining the new measures.
Morneau said last week the risk-sharing measures will be “well thought out” and gradual, and imposed only after getting feedback from industry players.
“At this stage, we haven’t identified any particular outcome because we do want to hear from people and we haven’t set out any definitive time frame,” Morneau said in Washington. The document will have “multiple ideas embedded in it,” he said. What a crock, this Morneau guy is. Why have they made any moves when they ‘haven’t identified any particular outcome’? That’s very dangerous, and is completely irresponsible behaviour.
The push-back from lenders shouldn’t come as a surprise to the government. Last year starting around March, the federal finance department began meeting with high-level officials at the banks, alternative lenders and mortgage insurers to float the idea of risk-sharing, according to several people in the industry.
“The Canadian housing market has operated in a very efficient manner with a strong competitive balance for several decades,” Andrew Charles, CEO of Canada Guaranty said in an Oct. 7 phone interview. “The government is seeking to reduce its overall exposure to the housing market.” Could this be an indicator that they are planning a real estate market collapse in Canada? Time will tell. In the meantime, contact Chris Steeves to find out what all of these new rules mean and how they will affect you.